Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2023 (634), Spring
An economic analysis of trade war and deglobalization in current international relations within the paradigm of globalization
Annamalai University, Chidambaram Tamil Nadu, India
Abstract. The purpose of the article is on the deglobalization processes currently taking place in international economic interactions, and also attempts to examine how the trade blocs of the major economies affect the rest of globalization. The Kinked Exponential Model was used to determine decadal growth rates based on 31 years of panel data from 1990 to 2020 for 15 large countries (gross domestic product). Three different regression models i.e., Pooled OLS, Fixed- and Randomeffect models were estimated to examine the effects of trade blocs and wars between nations on the world economy. Over the study period, disparities and increasing economic inequality between variables have widened. In addition, international conflicts have had a negative impact on international trade and have significantly affected globalization. More importantly, trade blocs, particularly the OECD, APEC, and BRICS have slowed trade with the rest of the world, reflecting a process known as regionalization, in which countries cooperate rather than at the global level. In particular, during the third decade of the twentieth century, when the growth rate of trade flows among major countries declined rapidly by 8.8 per cent, this regionalization did not stop and expanded significantly.
Keywords: globalization, deglobalization, trade war, trade impact, trade blocs, economic integration, kinked exponential model.
Contents
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exploring the case of Romanian firms
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- Adjusting the 5C pentagon for better health policymaking:
observing the leading behavioural risks factors
(diet, smoking, and alcohol consumption)
Ioana Teodora BIŢOIU
Cristina Elena NICOLESCU
- Incentivizing CEOs via pay and forced turnover:
Do tenure and managerial ability matter?
Nadide BANU OLCAY GÜNER
- Forecasting the Romanian inflation rate: An Autoregressive
Integrated Moving-Average (ARIMA) approach
Rareș-Petru MIHALACHE
Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV
- The effects of geopolitical risks on tourism revenues
of the Middle East and Asian countries
Ismet GOCER
Peter KOVACS
- The potential of macroeconomic forces and ICT
in affecting the sectorial growth: ARDL approach
in the context of East Asian countries
Sadik Aden DIRIR
- Validity of asset pricing models in Istanbul Stock Exchange
(ISE) information technology index
Akin ARDA
Arif SALDANLI
Sümeyra UZUN
- Dynamic relationship between external debt
and unemployment in Sub-Saharan Africa
Samuel Erasmus ALNAA
Juabin MATEY
- An analysis of factors influencing empowerment
of rural women through Deendayal Antyodaya Yojana –
National Rural Livelihood Mission (SGSY)
Ravi Kumar GUPTA
Udit MAHESHWARI
Debendra Nath DAS
- The impact of Covid-19 payment moratoria
on the Romanian banking system
Eugen-Marian VIERESCU
- Uncertainty and monetary policy during the Covid-19 pandemic
in Tunisia: Evidence from a Bayesian VAR
Dorra TURKI
Foued Badr GABSI
- Research on the evolution of migration in Romania
after the fall of the communist regime
Ioana Manuela MÎNDRICAN
Elena Florentina MATEI
- Black Sea and East Mediterranean
approach on sustainable development
Elena-Iulia CHITA
Silvia DUMITRESCU-POPA
- An economic analysis of trade war and deglobalization
in current international relations
within the paradigm of globalization
Altaf Hussain PADDER
- Financial difficulties and economic recession:
Evidence from Canadian seniors
Samir AMINE
Wilner PREDELUS
- Inflation targeting and exchange rate pass-through in India:
Lessons from international experience
Arshid Hussain PEER
Mirza Allim BAIG
- The circular economics of constructions
Rareș-Mihai NIȚU
- Market mood index and stock market.
Evidence from National Stock Exchange
Neha SETH
Yogesh KUMAR
- Analysis of the effects of social and fiscal policy
on incomes during the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania
Eva MILITARU
Amalia CRISTESCU
Silvana BOBÂRNAT