Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2024 (638), Spring
Drifting away from market efficiency: the presence of the January effect in the U.S. stock market
Bayes Business School, London, United Kingdom
Theodor Gabriel TRIFAN
Bayes Business School, London, United Kingdom
Abstract. The aim of this paper is to examine the existence and persistence across various portfolios of stocks of the January effect, a market anomaly suggesting that security prices exhibit distortions in the first month of every year compared to the rest of the year. The existing empirical studies on the January effect in contemporary financial markets, particularly in recent years, are somewhat limited. To provide a comprehensive overview, this paper utilizes data encompassing all American stocks listed on NASDAQ, AMEX, and NYSE from 1980s to 2023. The selection of the American stock market as the sample is based on its complexity and substantial trading activity. This investigation delves into the anomaly by assessing its impact on stock portfolios categorized by size, book-to-market ratio, and dividend yield. Additionally, the paper scrutinizes cross-sectional variations within the portfolios to uncover potential patterns explaining this anomaly, by looking at the corresponding quintile distribution. The data undergoes regression analysis using dummy Ordinary Least Squares. The results of the analysis reveal that the anomaly affects only a subset of stocks that share common characteristics: small capitalization, high book-to-market value and the ones that did not yield investors any dividends. The results are in line with previous findings in literature, particularly those of Ross (1983) and Reinganum (1983), suggesting evidence in favour of the window dressing hypothesis and the tax-loss selling hypothesis.
Keywords: efficiency, stock market, yield, econometric testing.
Contents
- The unemployment rate and the future
of the employment market in Romania
The impact of inflation
A study on the Romanian post-pandemic economy
dominated by uncertainty
Maria GHEORGHE
Aureliana ROMAN
- The importance of resource efficiency indicators
in assessing eco-innovation
in the European Union countries
Lejla TERZIĆ
- Day-of-the-week and weekend effects
on stock market returns:
an investigation through review of literature
Gaurav KUMAR
Prof. Bhartendu SINGH
- Redefining wine brand engagement through influencer
marketing and ephemeral content
Anca-Alexandra DUCMAN
- The analysis of the effects of income inequalities
on the at-risk-of-poverty rate in the European Union
Maria Berta BELU
Silvana BOBÂRNAT (CRIVOI)
Maria Denisa VASILESCU
Eva MILITARU
- Financial anxiety and inflation:
a burden for informal workers
Vaswati RUDRAPAL
Puja DAS
- India’s global trade potential.
A panel gravity model approach
Ritu SHEKHAWAT
C.R. BISHNOI
- Drifting away from market efficiency:
the presence of the January effect in the U.S. stock market
Alexandra Maria SERBU
Theodor Gabriel TRIFAN
- Marketing ethics –
another business-oriented scheme?
Raluca Iuliana GEORGESCU
Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV
- Financial effect of remittances
Dana Luiza GRIGORESCU
- Twitter sentiments and stock indices
returns with reference to nifty energy indices of India
Sakthivel SANTHOSHKUMAR
Murugesan SELVAM
- Brazilian soybeans: quo vadis?
Mario Antonio MARGARIDO
Frederico Araujo TUROLLA
- ESG risk rating disagreement:
implications on portfolio performance
Diana-Mihaela SANDU
- The economic efficiency
of waste management policies
Rareș-Mihai NIȚU
- Microfinance and poverty reduction:
an empirical evidence from SAARC nations
Samreen FAROOQ
Prof. S.M. Jawed AKHTAR
- Nexus between political federalism,
social diversity and human development in India
Vivek JADHAV
Dr. Shrabani MUKHERJEE
- Shaping the digital labor market
in the European Union
Georgiana-Alina CRISAN
Amalia CRISTESCU
Mădălina Ecaterina POPESCU
- Two decades of research on affiliate marketing:
a systematic literature review
Santroop TANWAR
Prof. Praveen SAHU
- Impact of final consumption, domestic investment,
exports, and imports on economic growth in Albania
Najwa AKERMI
Nadia Ben YEDDER
Sayef BAKARI
- Resurgence of informal economy
in the US amidst of automation
Bishal ROUTH
Joy SARKAR
- Ownership type and technical efficiency of banks
in Côte d’Ivoire: parametric and non-parametric evidence
Séraphin Yao PRAO
Guy-Roland MENZAN
Salimata DIABATÉ
- Evaluation of the event study
in the case of mergers and acquisitions
Dragoș-George BÎLTEANU
Irina STANCU
- Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on FDIs in Romania:
a comparative analysis
Mădălina-Elena DRAGOMIR
Marta STOIAN
- Analysis of the evolution of the net investments
and constructions carried out in Romania at the end of 2023
Constantin ANGHELACHE
Mădălina-Gabriela ANGHEL
Marius-Cristian RĂDUȚ
Ștefan Gabriel DUMBRAVĂ