Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2018 (615), Summer
Inflation unemployment dynamics in Hungary – A structured cointegration and vector error correction model approach
Szent Istvan University, Godóllö, Hungary
Maria FEKETE FARKAS
Szent Istvan University, Godóllö, Hungary
Florence JEESON
St. Michael’s College, Cherthala, Alappuzha, India
Abstract. This paper is an attempt to investigate the existence of long run dynamics between inflation and unemployment in Hungary through a structured cointegration approach and vector error correction model. Using the monthly data of inflation and unemployment in Hungary, this study shows the presence of a long-term relationship between inflation and unemployment. The cointegration test results prove the existence of a long run dynamics between these variables and the vector error correction model depicts that the variables would adjust to long run equilibrium path quickly in case of short run disturbances to the model. The results stand in contrast with the cases of many of the developed countries like USA where recent studies proved that the long run relationships between these two variables are vanishing.
Keywords: inflation, unemployment, cointegration, vector error correction model, Philips curve.
Contents
- Studying banking performance
from an accounting perspective:
Evidence from Europe
Maria Carmen HUIAN
Marilena MIRONIUC
Oana Iuliana MIHAI
- Corruption, governments’ debts, trade,
and global growth
Wei-Bin ZHANG
- Innovation – trends and patterns
at Romanian firms
Mihaela DIACONU
- How to build an economy free of recession and stagnation:
results from a multi-commodity macro model
Samuel MENG
- Analyzing the employment rate of the population,
unemployment and vacancies in the economy
Constantin ANGHELACHE
Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL
Ștefan Gabriel DUMBRAVĂ
Lucian ENE
- Studying the political economy of reforms:
The Greek case, 2010-2017
Dimitris P. SKALKOS
- Analysis of the evolution
of the number of pensioners and pensions in Romania
Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL
Constantin ANGHELACHE
- Inflation unemployment dynamics in Hungary –
A structured cointegration
and vector error correction model approach
Vijay VICTOR
Maria FEKETE FARKAS
Florence JEESON
- Exports, imports and economic growth in India:
Evidence from cointegration and causality analysis
Raju GUNTUKULA
- The role of economic growth and energy consumption
on CO2 emissions in E7 countries
Buhari DOĞAN
Osman DEĞER