Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2018 (617), Winter
A revisited causality analysis of Okun’s Law: The case of Turkey
Osmaniye Korkut Ata University, Turkey
Suleyman YURTKURAN
Karadeniz Technical University, Turkey
Adem KALCA
Karadeniz Technical University, Turkey
Abstract. The relationship between the gross domestic product (GDP) and unemployment is analyzed with Okun’s Law. Different studies that assess whether the two variables affect one another are examined with regard to Turkey. In this study, the authors examined whether an increase in GDP causes unemployment to fall or not with the youth (15-24 years) unemployment rate, prime working years (25-54) unemployment rate, and general (15-64) unemployment rate in Turkey. The relationship between GDP and unemployment was investigated using the unrestricted VAR and Hsiao’s Granger causality test, covering the period of 2006q2 to 2014q4. According to the causality tests, the empirical results show a negative unidirectional and statistically significant causality relationship from GDP to unemployment rates in the short term. Consequently, Okun’s Law is valid for Turkey.
Keywords: economic growth, unemployment, Okun’s law, Hsiao’s Granger causality, unrestricted VAR.
Contents
- Origin and continuity in spatial development:
The case of Romania
Ion POHOAȚĂ
Raluca CLIPA
Delia-Elena DIACONAȘU
- Study of population by domicile and residence.
Natural movement and imbalances
Constantin ANGHELACHE
Cristian Marian BARBU
Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL
Sorinel CĂPUȘNEANU
- Romanian branded hotels:
are they worth the effort?
Cornelia POP
Monica-Maria COROS
Maria-Andrada GEORGESCU
Maria BONEA
- Institutionalized social technologies index:
A global perspective
Danish Ahmed SIDDIQUI
Qazi Masood AHMED
- Sustainability and efficiency
of microfinance institutions in South Asia
Brijesh C. PUROHIT
S. SARAVANAN
- A revisited causality analysis of Okun’s Law:
The case of Turkey
Ugur Korkut PATA
Suleyman YURTKURAN
Adem KALCA
- Tax smoothing hypothesis:
The Tunisian case
Samia OMRANE BELGUITH
Foued Badr GABSI
Ameni MTIBAA
- The importance of efficiency for life insurer profit:
A study of Canadian life insurance companies
William WISE
- Does financial sector affect economic development
in ASEAN during 2010-2016?
Novelia SUSANTI
Didik SUSETYO
Dr. AZWARDI
- Do remittances really attract foreign direct investments?
Evidence from panel cointegration
Mercy Laita PALAMULENI
- The effect of credit default swap premiums on developing
markets’ economies: The case of exchange rates
Yunus AÇCI
Selim KAYHAN
Tayfur BAYAT