Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2019 (619), Summer
Exchange rate regimes and its impact on growth: An empirical analysis of BRICS countries
Dr. Abdul Haq Urdu University, Kurnool, India
Abstract. Emerging market economies (EMEs) are increasingly important drivers of global economic growth, as witnessed by the substantial increases in their share of world output during the last four decades. The choice of an exchange rate regime is a recurring issue in international macroeconomics. Recently, the currency crisis in Asia, Russia, Brazil and Argentina has increased interest in this area and the effects of exchange rate regimes become even more important in developing countries. Hence, the purpose of this study is to revisit the effects of exchange rate regimes on Growth of BRICS countries. The data used for this research covers over the period from 1970 to 2012. This study finds that the Pegged exchange rate regimes are not much associated with better performance in terms of growth. In the growth performance, BRICS countries with Pegged regimes show significantly negative growth. Pegged regimes have significantly (-81%) lower growth in BRICS countries. The impact of Pegged regime on growth increases and the positive link between Pegged regimes and GDP growth can occur through a pegged regime’s price stability effect. Countries with Pegged regimes have lower real interest rates since pegged regimes act as an antiinflationary tool for monetary policy makers. Thus, low real interest rates lead to an increase in investment, and in the end, a high level of investment leads to higher levels of economic growth. Moreover, by adopting a pegged regime can promote trade for BRICS countries and lead to an increase in economic growth.
Keywords: exchange rate regimes, growth models, pegged and non-pegged exchange rates, economic growth, macro economic variables and financial crisis.
Contents
- The education and training.
Priorities of the European Union
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Gabriela Victoria ANGHELACHE
Mădălina Gabriela ANGHEL
- Posted offers in exogenous networks:
A theoretical application and experimental results
Lisa BREGER
Andrea SORENSEN
- The role of Japan in the development
of emerging markets in Asia.
Key lessons learned for China
Ionela VOINEA
- Empirical examination of the stability of expectations –
Augmented Phillips Curve for developing
and developed countries
Yhlas SOVBETOV
Muhittin KAPLAN
- The causality between economic growth and stock market
in developing and developed countries:
Toda-Yamamoto approach
Bilgehan TEKIN
Erol YENER
- Government failure vs. Market failure.
The implications of incomplete information
Rareș Petru MIHALACHE
Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV
- Foreign direct investment
and total factor productivity in South Asia
Zaira ADNAN
Mamta CHOWDHURY
Girijasankar MALLIK
- Exploring the nexus between macroeconomic variables
and stock market returns in Germany:
An ARDL Co-integration approach
Riadh El ABED
Amna ZARDOUB
- Exchange rate regimes and its impact on growth:
An empirical analysis of BRICS countries
Babu Rao G.
- Dynamics of business cycle
and long-term economic growth of Pakistan
Usama Ehsan KHAN
Syed Monis JAWED
- Per capita gross domestic product
and welfare of Gabonese households:
A VAR model with exogenous hypothesis
Giscard ASSOUMOU-ELLA
- Co-integration with regime shift between government
expenditure and poverty reduction in Algeria
Hicham AYAD
- Trade in a two sector endogenous growth model
with two accumulating factors
Birgit KIRSCHBAUM-BEHL
- What discriminates the welfare outcomes of children in India.
A multiple discriminant analysis in selected states
Atul MEHTA
Joysankar BHATTACHARYA