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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2022 (633), Winter

The Russia-Ukraine invasion toward increasing food security threat for population: An empirical study using T-GARCH model

Ain Temouchent University, Algeria

Abstract. The aim of the present paper is testing the impact of the Ukraine-Russia invasion on food security. To achieve our investigation a daily data was used for the period of 20th September 2020 to 20th September 2022 using most vulnerable commodities to this geopolitics risks. Primary findings under T-GARCH model concluded that the variables highly affect by the bad news including both of the Covid-19 pandemic following by the Ukraine war in the edge of 2022. This finding confirmed what was stated in the global reports about the food insecurity risk which has become a real threat for the population.

Keywords: food security, Ukraine war, commodities, hunger risk, T-GARCH model.

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The Economicity. The Epistemic Landscape, Marin Dinu, 2016


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