Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 5 / 2012 (570)
Using Garch-in-Mean Model to Investigate Volatility and Persistence at Different Frequencies for Bucharest Stock Exchange during 1997-2012
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Ecaterina Oana SLĂVESCU
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Abstract. In our paper we use data mining to compare the volatility structure of high (daily) and low (weekly, monthly) frequencies for seven Romanian companies traded on Bucharest Stock Exchange and three market indices, during 1997-2012. For each of the 10 time series and three frequencies we fit a GARCH-in-mean model and we find that persistency is more present in the daily returns as compared with the weekly and monthly series. On the other hand, the GARCH-in-mean failed to confirm (on our data) the theoretical hypothesis that an increase in volatility leads to a rise in future returns, mainly because the variance coefficient from the mean equation of the model was not statistically significant for most of the time series analyzed and on most of the frequencies. The diagnosis that we ran in order the verify the goodness of fit for the model showed that GARCH-in-mean was well fitted on the weekly and monthly time series but behaved less well on the daily time series.
Keywords: stock returns; volatility; persistence; GARCH model; emerging markets; data mining.
Contents
- Optimal Labor Contracts
with Asymmetric Information and More than Two Types of Agent
Daniela Elena MARINESCU
Dumitru MARIN
- Inflation Targeting in the Romanian Banking Brushwood
Georgiana BALABAN
Dorel AILENEI
- Oligarchy versus Democracy
and Regulation versus Deregulation
under the Globalization Effect
Dumitru-Alexandru BODISLAV
- Using Garch-in-Mean Model to Investigate Volatility and Persistence
at Different Frequencies for Bucharest Stock Exchange during 1997-2012
Iulian PANAIT
Ecaterina Oana SLĂVESCU
- Preparation of Financial Statements for Sme’s in Romania. Interest for Cash-Flow Statement
Nicoleta FARCANE
Sorinel CĂPUŞNEANU
Sorin BRICIU
- The Biblical Matrix of Economics
Grigore PIROŞCĂ
Angela ROGOJANU
- The Sustainable Development Model
Cristina BURGHELEA
- Comportamentul financiar al populaţiei în timpul crizei
Bogdan CHIRIACESCU
Luminița TĂTĂRICI
Cristina VIŞAN
- Education and Crisis
Marius-Cristian PANĂ
- The Post-Crisis Healthcare System:
Effects of the Economic Crisis in Romania
Marta Christina SUCIU
Cristian Adrian STAN
Luciana PICIORUŞ
Cosmin Ionuţ IMBRIŞCĂ
- Business Incubators – Favorable Environment for Small and Medium Enterprises Development
Camelia MORARU
Alexandru RUSEI
- Procedural and Systematic Crisis Approach and Crisis Management
Dragoş Ionuţ TĂNASE

















