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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2020 (625), Winter

Analysis of the correlation between taxation indicators and economic growth at the macroeconomic level in European Union and Romania

Cătălina MOTOFEI
The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania

Abstract. In this paper, the author attempts to verify, on the basis of a selected set of data, if the influence of the causal variables (taxation indicators), namely Taxes on production and imports less subsidies and Taxes less subsidies on products on the Gross Domestic Product falls under the category of Granger causalities, and the research hypotheses are defined accordingly. Since the variables were supposed to be, and actually found to be non-stationary, the chosen research method is based on the Toda-Yamamoto approach, adapted to the structure of the data. The results allow the validation of the hypotheses in a limited number of cases, the analysis aimed to test the causalities between the nominal values and, on the other hand, their elasticities.

Keywords: causality, taxation, products, imports, GDP.

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