Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2026 (647), Summer
Can monetary policy drive inclusive social development in Africa? Instrumental variables quantile regression approach
Thomas SANKARA University, Burkina Faso
Pousbila DIANDA
Thomas SANKARA University, Burkina Faso / Pan-African Institute for Development in West Africa and the Sahel (IPD-AOS), Burkina Faso
Abstract. This paper examines whether, beyond its conventional aims of price stability, monetary policy is a determinant of inclusive social development in Africa. The analysis is based on a panel of African countries covering the period 2010–2022. The empirical strategy employs three complementary econometric models: a fixed-effects model to capture country-specific variations, a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression to address endogeneity, and an instrumental-variable quantile regression (IV-QR) to study the heterogeneity impact according to levels of inclusive development. The empirical results provide robust evidence that monetary policy has positive and causal effects on inclusive human development in Africa. Bank liquidity, monetary depth, and real interest rate stability significantly improve the inequality-adjusted human development index (IHDI). Instrumental variable quantile regressions reveal remarkably stable coefficients across the conditional distribution of inclusive development, indicating the absence of strong heterogeneity across countries. Furthermore, alternative estimations show that monetary policy reduces social and income inequalities while enhancing human development. These findings suggest that monetary policy operates as a macrostructural lever for inclusive development rather than a purely distributive instrument. These findings call for monetary authorities to strengthen macroeconomic stability, enhance liquidity management, and foster financial deepening as strategic tools to promote inclusive human development in African economies.
Keywords: monetary policy, inclusive development, social inequalities, IV-QR.
Contents
- Military expenditure and economic sustainability: implications of the SAFE program
Andrei-Cosmin RUSU
Rares-Emanuel POP
- Regional inequalities and human capital adaptability in Romania
Teodora-Cătălina DUMITRA
- Income inequality: The Resource Distribution Index (RDI)
Kausar YASMEEN
- Testing the weak form efficiency of green financial markets: A comparative study between developed and developing green financial markets
Mohammed Chawki HABI
Moussa BENIKHLEF
- Exploring symmetry and asymmetry in evacuation dynamics: A comprehensive bibliometric and computational analysis
Nora CHIRIȚĂ
Livia-Diana IANCU
Camelia DELCEA
- Does institutional quality promote economic growth in West Africa?
Piman Alain-Raphaël BAYILI
Mahamadou DIARRA
Oumarou ZALLÉ
- A dynamic panel data analysis of the asymmetric impact of labour cost on intra-EU migration
Maria Berta BELU
Mădălina Ecaterina POPESCU
Amalia CRISTESCU
- Determinants of CO2 emissions in ASEAN-5: The role of human development, renewable energy, and economic growth
Rensi Elga YUNIOR
Anna YULIANITA
Ariodillah HIDAYAT
- Effects of digital economy on economic growth: Evidence from low- and middle-income countries in Africa
Donnibè DAH
Pam ZAHONOGO
Ousmane TRAORÉ
- Adaptive AI, behavioural pattern formation, and the development of human cognition
Raluca Iuliana GEORGESCU
Dumitru Alexandru BODISLAV
- Tax-driven alignment between conforming and non-conforming earnings management across different accounting standards
Ammar Razzaq Al RUBAYE
Sajad Mahdi ABBAS
Abass K. JAUD
- Effect of inclusive business models on multidimensional poverty in Burkina Faso
Judith OUBDA
Eugène Dimaviya COMPAORÉ
Boukaré MAÏGA
- Gross financial wealth or net financial strength? Household balance sheets and economic development in the European Union
Floarea Iuliana SUSU
- Government expenditures and tax policy: A comprehensive fiscal analysis for Greece from 1974 to 2018
Panagiotis ASIMAKOPOULOS
- What is the nature of the relationship between inflation and economic growth? Empirical evidence for the 13 least developed African countries
Rajab BOUZAYANI
Zouheir ABIDA
- Digital trust and consumer psychology: A robust analysis of youth entrepreneurship in emerging Indian markets
Mishra SHIKHAR
- Can monetary policy drive inclusive social development in Africa? Instrumental variables quantile regression approach
Tiraogo Rodrigue OUEDRAOGO
Pousbila DIANDA
















