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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 2 / 2025 (643), Summer

Government debt service, interest rates, and macroeconomic stability: a conceptual approach

Richard J. CEBULA
University of Tennessee, United States of America
G. Jason JOLLEY
Ohio University, United States of America
Kamal P. UPADHYAYA
University of New Haven, United States of America
Franklin G. MIXON Jr.
Columbus State University, United States of America

Abstract. The U.S. national debt exceeded $1 trillion, driven by COVID-19 spending and military conflicts. Debt service payments rose 80.4% in four years, from $521 billion to $940 billion. This paper presents a macroeconomic model analyzing the monetary policy’s impact on debt service and national debt growth. Federal spending is divided into real expenditures on goods/services and interest-sensitive debt payments. The model suggests that if the interest sensitivity of debt payments surpasses that of household/business spending, expansionary monetary policy results in a negative macroeconomic multiplier, posing significant challenges for policymakers amidst growing debt service obligations.

Keywords: government debt service, deficits and debt, fiscal policy, monetary policy, IS-LM, interest rates, real GDP.

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The Economicity. The Epistemic Landscape, Marin Dinu, 2016

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