Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2012 (566)
Testing the Asymmetry of Shocks with Euro Area
Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
Abstract. The objective of this study is to identify the demand and supply shocks affecting 13 EU member states and to estimate their degree of correlation with the Euro area shocks. This research ensures identifying the asymmetry of shocks degree with the monetary union, depending on which it’s judging the desirability of adopting a single currency. The analysis is also useful for the economies outside the Euro area, because they are strongly commercial and financial integrated especially with the core economies from union. Applying the Blanchard and Quah methodology to estimate the shocks in the period from 1998:1- 2010:3, I have found a weak and negative correlation between demand shocks and a medium to high correlation of the supply shocks. The results obtained suggest the presence of a structural convergence process with the Euro area, in the context of domestic macroeconomic policies rather different, both inside and outside the monetary union.
Keywords: demand shocks; supply shocks; SVAR model; Euro area; asymmetric shocks.
Contents
- Testing the Asymmetry of Shocks with Euro Area
Marius-Corneliu MARINAŞ
- The Population and the Labor Force Market
Constantin ANGHELACHE
- Negative Income Tax and Labor Market Participation.
A Short Run Analysis
Samir AMINE
Pedro LAGES DOS SANTOS
- Sustainable Development of South-West Oltenia
Region in the Current Economic Crisis
Camelia MARIN
Isabella SIMA
Mihaela RUXANDA
- The New and the Future Look of the Economy
Liliana CRĂCIUN
- The Spread of Economic Ideas among Romanian
People. Case Study: Alexandru D. Xenopol
Angela ROGOJANU
Liana BADEA
Laurenţiu-George ŞERBAN-OPRESCU
- Using Quantitative Data Analysis Techniques
for Bankruptcy Risk Estimation for Corporations
Ştefan Daniel ARMEANU
Georgeta VINTILĂ
Maricica MOSCALU
Maria-Oana FILIPESCU
Paula LAZĂR
- The New Governance and Globalization
Costantin ROMAN
Aureliana Geta ROMAN
Alexandru BOGHIU