Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 8 / 2014 (597)
Wavelet based sample entropy analysis: A new method to test weak form market efficiency
University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, India
B. KAMAIAH
University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, India
Abstract. In this article, we analyze informational efficiency in daily returns of NASDAQ, DJIA and S&P 500 indices ranging from 04-01-1980 to 12-09-2013.We replace the traditional coarse graining method used in multi-scale entropy analysis by a Maximal Overlap Discreet Wavelet Transform decomposition and extract Sample entropy measure across different timescales. To compare against efficient market behavior, we simulate an i.i.d. normal series with the same mean and variance of the underlying series and repeat the procedure. Next, we plot both of these estimates to see how the values differ from each other across the scales. It is found that the three markets under study are not weak form efficient at high to medium frequencies (up to semi-annual period). They are informationally efficient in the long run (annual-biannual period). Here, efficiency of a financial market is closely related with the time horizons under which the agents operate. As time horizon increases, the markets move towards an informationally efficient state. It could be due to the fact that agents with a long investment horizon make use of the information set available in a comparatively efficient manner due to their comparatively high tolerance for price fluctuations as opposed to their high-frequency counterparts.
Keywords: EMH, efficiency, transfer entropy, wavelets, equity markets.
Contents
- The analysis of regional earnings inequalities in Romania
Amalia CRISTESCU
Larisa STĂNILĂ
Maria Denisa VASILESCU
- Wavelet based sample entropy analysis:
A new method to test weak form market efficiency
Anoop S. KUMAR
B. KAMAIAH
- Measuring the governance in Pakistan:
An introduction to KU Index
Rana Ejaz Ali KHAN
Shafqut ULLAH
- Importance of financial perspective indicators
in Balanced Scorecard in a leasing company
Alina CHIŢU
Mădălina Elena OPRIŞ
- Natural capital in the global crisis context
Constantin CONSTANTINESCU
- The development of Human Capital
in the global crisis context
Ortansa FLOREA (MOISE)