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Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 4 / 2023 (637), Winter

The Asian Stock Market’s reaction to Covid outbreak: an empirical Insights from ARDL approach

Dr. Neha SETH
Symbiosis International (Deemed) University, Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India
Deepti SINGH
Central University of Rajasthan, Ajmer, Rajasthan, India

Abstract. This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 on select Asian countries and the cointegration between the countries with high covid recovery rates and the countries with the least recovery rate. For this purpose, the daily closing values of ten Asian countries were taken from July 2018 to June 30, 2022. For this purpose, the paper employed Unit-root, Correlation analysis, Autoregressive Distributed Lag bound test, and Granger's Causality. The result implies that as an effect of Covid-19, all the markets were found to be strongly and positively correlated with each other. The results of the ARDL bound test depict that cointegration between the markets has significantly increased. Further, the pandemic has accelerated the bidirectional causality between the indices; hence, the markets affect each other even in the short run. The study results will help investors diversify their securities and hedge against adverse shocks like this pandemic.

Keywords: Covid-19, Asian Stock Market, ARDL Cointegration, Covid Recovery Rates, Causality.

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The Economicity. The Epistemic Landscape, Marin Dinu, 2016


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