Theoretical and Applied Economics
No. 1 / 2006 (496)
Asymmetrical Information and Uncertainty on the Capital Market
Universitatea Tehnica Cluj
Abstract. The paper analyses the paradox found on the stock exchanges where routine operations are regulated on a very detailed scale while important decisions regarding investments in financial asset are taken under uncertainty conditions. Thus, the paper emphasizes the debate of the source, the nature and the dimension of this uncertainty, present in all phases where decisions regarding the stock exchange’s operations are taken and applied. The author shows that in the stock exchange decisions remains, at least theoretically, under certainty and rationality but these characteristics have to be approached in a probabilistic way. And this statement is detailed. The level of knowledge gathered from a participative study of the market, through both fundamental and technical analysis, gives to the concept of reducing uncertainty an objective character. But still, all this is done by achieving a better cognitive image without the reducible uncertainty. In the opposite situation, the uncertainty grows. Those taking decisions regarding the investments aspects have to deal with two main problems. Thus, the investors have at their disposition two strategies: “step by step continuous optimization” and “good enough investments”. These strategies are critically presented and analyzed, considering their advantages and disadvantages, the main approach being the acquisition or the selling price of the financial assets. The description of these decisional strategies used in a stock exchange’s operations is followed by the presentation of the criteria that should be considered when choosing these strategies. The emerged conclusion is that in the presence of uncertainty, which accompanies a stock exchange, a high level of performance cannot be obtained without possessing a large amount of relevant information gathered in the past but relevant for the present.
Keywords: uncertainty; decision; informal uncertainty; portfolio optimization; cognitive uncertainty.
Contents
- Limits of Inflation Targeting Strategy
Cristian Socol
Aura Niculescu
- Measuring the Company Performance
Ion Stancu
- Short-run and Current Analysis Model in Statistics
Constantin Anghelache
Alexandru Isaic-Maniu
Constantin Mitrut
Vergil Voineagu
- The Structural Convergence of the Romanian Economy. Comparative Analysis
Marius-Corneliu Marinas
- „Uthopia – The Castle with Dreams and Hopes”
Dan Popescu
- Testing the Informational Efficiency on the Romanian Financial Market
Bogdan Dima
Marilen Pirtea
Aurora Murgea
- The Knowledge Economy – New Economy?
Niculae Niculescu
- The Evolution of the Romanian Capital Market – Limits and Performances
Gabriela Anghelache
- A New Approach in Rentability and Capital Risk Management
Leonardo Badea
- A New Agenda for Economic Science
Ion Bucur
- Economic Growth Models Transition
Coralia Angelescu
- Challenges in Global Economy
Nicolae Danila
- The Deadlock of Sustainable Development
Mircea Dutu
- The Dichotomy Real – Nominal in Romanian Economy Evolution
Gheorghe H. Popescu
Elvira Nica